Despite all evidence to the contrary, US consumers expect 2015 to be a fantastic year for stocks, wages, employment, and housing prices. From ZeroHedge:
UMich Consumer Sentiment surged to 98.2 – smashing expectations of 94.1 by the most in almost 2 years. This is the highest sentiment since February 2004…!!This all seems very odd… especially in light of the dismal retail sales data and weak wage growth (and we note this is the preliminary print). Inflation expectations plunged to 2.4% (from 2.8%) – the lowest since 2010. American optimism remains unphased as a majority (55.2%) now expect higher wages in the next year (despite earninsg [sic] actually dropping!!)
Whenever I post a news article, I always bring it back down to the individual level to give you a takeaway that will help you improve your financial life. So what can this survey teach you?
Nobody can predict the future. The coming year may turn out to be a great year all around. I can tell you why I’m not quite that optimistic about it, but that misses the point. The point is that optimism of this kind leads to overspending and undersaving.